Third-Quarter Earnings Season Faces Challenge of Sky-High Expectations

European stock indexes rose on Wednesday, with the Stoxx 600 gaining 0.3% as ASML’s upward guidance revision boosted AI-related shares.

A facts-only brief, written by a local AI model from this article in The Wall Street Journal, October 14, 2026. It may contain mistakes, and it is not the article: the full story is at wsj.com.

European stock indexes rose on Wednesday, with the Stoxx 600 gaining 0.3% as ASML’s upward guidance revision boosted AI-related shares. The Dutch AEX index added 0.6%, driven by a 2.3% jump in ASML stock, while the German DAX climbed 0.3% on a 2.1% gain for Infineon. Luxury retailers also contributed to market strength, with Burberry rising 2.3% and LVMH climbing 1.9% to help lift the CAC 40 by 0.5%. Meanwhile, the Nikkei Stock Average increased 0.3% to 67,951.17 as investors awaited U.S. inflation data.

Background

  • UniCredit’s Christian Stocker notes that S&P 500 earnings-per-share growth is expected to reach approximately 27% in the third quarter, a level he describes as exceptionally strong by historical standards.
  • DWS Chief Investment Officer Vincenzo Vedda identifies high bond yields and continued concentration in the technology sector as key risks to U.S. equities, noting that about 50% of expected third-quarter earnings growth stems from AI infrastructure investment.
  • Jefferies’ Mohit Kumar states that geopolitical tensions, particularly the lack of progress in U.S.-Iran relations, remain a primary market driver, with a deal appearing unlikely before U.S. midterm elections.
  • Bank of Thailand Deputy Governor Piti Disyatat argues that while AI infrastructure investment is boosting demand, significant productivity gains from the technology will take longer to materialize.

Read the full article at wsj.com

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