Quo Vadis Germany

An obituary in 12 theses or the crash of a discontinued model Speech at the annual conference "Mut zur Ethik" from August 29 to 31, 2025 in Sirnach, Switzerland
Quo Vadis Germany

The question “Germany - where are you going?” is derived from a novel that was published 130 years ago in 1895. It was written by the Polish athor Henryk Sienkiewicz and is entitled “Quo Vadis”. The story is set in the year 64 AD and deals with the persecution of Christians in Rome during the reign of Emperor Nero. Henryk Sienkiewicz describes how Christians were tortured and banished alive as torches. Rome was an empire in decline at the time. It is characteristic that contemporaries were unaware of its decay. However, internal and external violence is obviously a characteristic of falling empires.

Dieser Substack wird von den Lesern unterstützt. Um neue Posts zu erhalten und meine Arbeit zu unterstützen, sollten Sie ein Free- oder Paid-Abonnent werden.

1.00

Why is Germany destroying the remnants of its parliamentary democracy and, orchestrated by NATO and its leading power, the USA, running into new wars after the devastating wars of annihilation that started on German soil in the 20th century?

You just have to look. That is precisely the task of the journalist: to “see and say”, as my American friend Patrick Lawrence puts it. That is the status quo. This leads to the question of why, a look back in anger, and future options for action - quo vadis. In twelve theses, I outline an overall picture that shows Germany as an example of the decline of the West.

1. Status quo

Thesis 1: Economically, Germany is on the brink of collapse. The sanctions against Russia have proved to be a boomerang. The severing of energy relations with Russia and the blowing up of the Nord Stream pipeline, which investigator Seymour Hersh blames on the USA, have made the German economy uncompetitive. De-industrialization has reached the tipping point at which it has become irreversible. Hundreds of thousands of jobs are currently being lost. Inflation is galloping. The German economy is shrinking, while the Russian economy is growing (+4.5% in 2024). Many billions are being withdrawn from consumption and the welfare state and are flowing into the pockets of the US arms industry. The deal struck by EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and US President Trump in the customs dispute is clearly to Germany’s detriment. German free rider imperialism has failed.

Thesis 2: Berlin’s political self-enslavement to the USA is now taking its revenge. On August 18, Europe’s representatives sat in the Oval Office like schoolboys who have been up to no good - a farce of submission. The European leaders begged for the war to be prolonged—what a cynical capitulation in a sea of blood! Germany allowed itself to be dragged into the war in Ukraine, even though it was clear from the outset that Ukraine could not win this war. Nevertheless, the NATO West tried to bring Russia to its knees with a combination of arms aid for Kiev, economic pressure through sanctions (exclusion from SWIFT; oil price cap; theft of Russian foreign assets worth around 300 billion euros) and diplomatic isolation. This strategy has failed. Russia has restructured itself economically and turned to Asia politically and economically. A total of 153 out of 193 nations in the UN continue to trade with Russia. Germany is being restructured under the hegemon’s tutelage as the poorhouse of Europe. The bill is being paid by dependent employees and the middle class.

1.00

2. looking back in anger:

Let me take a look into the forgotten history, at the hidden causes, the how and the why.

Thesis 5: The decline of the German economy stems from long lines of self-destruction. The tax exemption of capital gains through the Schröder government’s 2002 reforms led to banks selling their industrial holdings. They put the money into toxic securities. This had two consequences: 1. US financial investors bought into all German DAX companies. 2. Germany got caught up in the maelstrom of the financial crisis. This in turn had also two consequences: 1. in order to save the banks, their debts were taken over by the state and central bank money was pumped into the system, which drove up debt and fueled financial capitalism. Bad bank loans became government bonds. 2. the banks were able to clean up their balance sheets and the bonds ended up in the unregulated shadow banking system. They are held by financial investors, special purpose vehicles and insurance companies. In the shadow banking system, the investments are usually leveraged using derivative instruments in order to maximize profits. The refinancing of the German state has therefore fallen into the hands of US financial investors who are making billions from the war. Locusts such as Blackrock, Vanguard, State Street, JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs are speculating against the bonds of every country that abandons the war course. In doing so, they are also putting Germany’s state refinancing under considerable pressure.

Thesis 6: German policy follows the primacy of the financial industry and thus destroys its industrial foundations. Studies show that the profit rate is falling in all western industrialized nations. The profit rate is the ratio of capital employed to profits. The tendency of the profit rate to fall can be counteracted - by lowering wages, opening up new markets, rationalization, cheaper raw materials. Ukraine offers all of this. Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz is acting like a branch manager of Blackrock on German soil and quite rationally when he fuels the war and wants to send German troops to Ukraine. After all, financial investors not only make money from war, but also from reconstruction. In war, capital is destroyed and the original accumulation can begin again. Rosa Luxemburg: “The proletarians fall, the stock market prices rise.” The war was a stock market bet. Nobody expected the Russians to win. That is why the stock market bet became Russian roulette.

1.00

Thesis 9: Economically, Germany - like Europe - is on the brink of collapse. The Europeans have now invested many hundreds of billions in the war in Ukraine. Germany alone has already invested at least 50 billion euros, the massive arms expenditure and the funds that have flowed through the EU add to this. If Donald Trump forces the EU to accept Ukraine, the costs of the war and reconstruction will be communitized in the EU. They are estimated at 800 billion dollars, and the war is not over yet. Funds from the EU agricultural and cohesion funds are then likely to flow into Ukraine. The almost 300 billion euros of Russian foreign assets frozen at Euroclear and elsewhere in Europe should be stolen from the Russians after a victory in Ukraine. However, financial investors point out that Putin and Trump discussed in Anchorage the possibility of removing these almost 300 billion dollars from Europe and investing them in the USA - a lucrative deal for both countries. The Europeans would then lose out. If peace is reached, the shadow banks will speculate massively against European bonds. The subsequent devaluation of government bonds could cause Germany’s refinancing to collapse.

Thesis 10: Most European leaders have no chance but to prolong the war militarily. The danger of a sovereign debt crisis and a collapse of the European financial system is forcing the heads of government to prolong the war. They are driven by the desperate hope that somehow Kiev will hold out to the last Ukrainian. They hope that in the next five to ten years, European troops in Ukraine will be able to stand up to Moscow and wrest Ukraine’s resources: black earth, gas, lithium and rare earths from Russia. The political elites cannot go back: from the Maidan killings to the almost two million dead in Ukraine - they have too much on their plate. Defeat will inevitably lead to a reckoning. Then they would either have to resign or be held criminally responsible. The fear of their own downfall drives the bloodthirst of German functionary elites to the point of frenzy. There is only one catch: without the USA, the Europeans cannot bring Russia down. That is why they want to keep the USA in the war at all costs.

Thesis 11: The war is a war against its own population and against democracy. The armament in Germany has a completely different purpose: to abolish democracy and replace it with a new form of dictatorship, to arm the military so that internal unrest can be quelled and the ruling party cartel can continue as before. A transatlantic comprador rule is to be maintained by force of arms against its own population. This could be constitutionally organized by declaring a state of tension with a two-thirds majority of the Bundestag in accordance with Article 80a of the Basic Law. The aim of the propaganda bloodlust is to restore a meaningful cohesive force to an EU in which the centrifugal forces are growing and the interests of the member states are drifting apart: Having failed as a peace project, it is now to lead a zombie existence as a war machine of the Pan-Germanic drive to the east.

Thesis 12: Germany - a country without opposition. War and the destruction of democracy go hand in hand in Germany. This is possible because the population shows no resistance. Obviously, civil courage and democratic fighting spirit are completely paralyzed. Becoming accustomed to state control during the coronavirus pandemic, aggressive diversity teachings, war propaganda and digitalization have robbed people of their capacity to act and their ability to make decisions for themselves. Digital capitalism makes it possible to sedate people as consumers through digital freebies, while at the same time exploiting them in the work process and monitoring and manipulating them as political subjects. The result is a blocked conflict. This also blocks the Oedipal conflict on a psychological level: There is a lack of critical engagement with political elites; authority is fundamentally trusted. This opens the door to the re-coding of history, a re-framing in the service of the prevailing propaganda, and the implementation of historical lies. In Germany in particular, a reinterpretation of history is fatal in view of the singularity of the Nazi crimes committed not only against Jews but also against Soviet citizens, as it enables a psychological reversal of guilt and thus a shift of aggression towards Russia as the enemy. The result is a country on autopilot, trapped in a digital economy of affect, without opposition, unresisting in its relapse into barbarism.

1.00

Farewell

A departure from the war course of the German ruling elites can only be forced through fundamental opposition. Here we need to see whether the coming massive social cuts will persuade people to take their protest to the streets. What is needed is a broad alliance for peace and the welfare state that takes the protest to the streets. But the Germans are currently dozing off to their doom.

Henryk Sienkiewicz once again. It is July 64 A.D. At dusk, he leaves Peter standing before the backdrop of Rome with the Christian Lygia, in all his despair before this city: “How shall I defeat their wickedness?”

‘The whole city seems to be on fire,’ Lygia interrupted him in these reflections. The sun was just setting in marvelous splendor… and as the sun sank, the glow became redder and redder. ‘The whole city seems to be on fire,’ Lygia repeated. Peter put his hand over his eyes and said, ’The wrath of God is upon her!“

This is how it will be for the Western hegemonic power and its vassals. Don’t seriously believe that the people in the global South will ever forgive us for the genocide in Gaza, the genocide in Donbass, the provoked war in Ukraine and the more than 20,000 sanctions against Russia. Nothing will be forgotten. Germany once again sits sullied among the nations - sullied with the blood of those who lie in the streets in our imperialist wars. Those who cling to toppling empires will be dragged down with them.

Dieser Substack wird von den Lesern unterstützt. Um neue Posts zu erhalten und meine Arbeit zu unterstützen, sollten Sie ein Free- oder Paid-Abonnent werden.


Write a comment