Diamond weekly: whale flows vs world events, 2026-10-25 to 2026-10-31
128,631 whale transactions worth $521.9B and 2,284 AML cases in 7 days; busiest day 2026-10-30.
128,631 whale transactions worth $521.9B and 2,284 AML cases in 7 days; busiest day 2026-10-30.
The week in numbers
| Day | Whale txs (>= $100k) | Volume | AML cases | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | 13,988 | $48.16B | 253 | elevated |
| 2026-10-26 | 18,169 | $95.13B | 352 | high |
| 2026-10-27 | 17,185 | $70.54B | 342 | high |
| 2026-10-28 | 18,459 | $73.37B | 467 | elevated |
| 2026-10-29 | 19,492 | $75.13B | 280 | elevated |
| 2026-10-30 | 25,221 | $102.09B | 351 | elevated |
| 2026-10-31 | 16,117 | $57.46B | 239 | elevated |
Signals worth watching
- China news led AML cases by 6 h (r = +0.49)
- Middle East news led AML cases by 1 h (r = +0.48)
- Crypto hacks news led AML cases by 0 h (r = +0.47)
- Russia news led AML cases by 1 h (r = +0.46)
- War & conflict news led AML cases by 1 h (r = +0.45)
Correlation is not causation: these are leads to check, not conclusions.
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Every day an independent Bitcoin node publishes the full Whale x Geopolitics report: the largest moves, laundering
patterns (peel chains, sweeps, round-amount splits), news-correlation charts and an analyst brief.
- Today’s report: pay
report@diamond.tail1b5f86.ts.netwith any Lightning wallet - Free check of any address against the sanctions and ransomware lists: https://diamond.tail1b5f86.ts.net/check?ref=nostr
- Screen any Bitcoin address:
screen@diamond.tail1b5f86.ts.net, or pay by QR from any wallet at https://diamond.tail1b5f86.ts.net/buy?ref=nostr - Watch an address for 30 days (an alert for every transaction):
watch@diamond.tail1b5f86.ts.net - For apps and AI agents: https://diamond.tail1b5f86.ts.net/api/?ref=nostr (Lightning L402 or USDC x402) and an MCP server at https://diamond.tail1b5f86.ts.net/api/mcp
Heuristics over public data; not legal, compliance or investment advice.
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