¿Será Venezuela atacada?
Pues no creo, pero quizá sí. Trump es completamente imprevisible, pero sus actos no son absurdos. Es decir, su lógica puede ser alternativa a la habitualmente utilizada en política, pero es una lógica, al fin y al cabo. Y si ha ubicado decenas de buques de guerra y miles de hombres en las inmediaciones de Venezuela, la posibilidad de que los mande a atacar Venezuela no debe ser descartada. ¿Cuál es la lógica detrás de semejante acción? Evidentemente, no la lucha contra las drogas, la mayoría de las cuales viaja de Suramérica a EE. UU. por el Pacífico y entra por Méjico, siendo el venezolano un camino real pero secundario en este tráfico. Los motivos son otros. Por un lado, y de cara al continente, demostrar quién es el que manda. Quizá hacer caer el gobierno de Maduro. Puede que ni siquiera con la invasión, sino metiéndoles el miedo en el cuerpo a los militares venezolanos haciéndoles cesar a Maduro y entregarlo a la DEA.
¿Será Venezuela atacada? The article explores the possibility of a US military intervention in Venezuela, citing Trump’s unpredictable nature and the deployment of warships and troops. The author suggests that the logic behind such an action is not primarily about combating drug trafficking but rather about asserting US dominance in the Americas, potentially toppling the Maduro government, and signaling to external powers like China and Russia that the Western Hemisphere is under US control. The piece also touches upon the strategic importance of oil reserves in the region as a potential motive, while emphasizing Trump’s inherent unpredictability, which could lead to various outcomes ranging from invasion to direct negotiation.
- Trump’s actions regarding Venezuela, including naval and troop deployment, are unpredictable but follow a discernible logic.
- The deployment is unlikely to be solely for drug interdiction, as most drugs enter the US via the Pacific and Mexico.
- Motives may include asserting US dominance in the Americas, potentially causing Maduro’s government to fall or be handed over to the DEA.
- A key objective could be reinforcing the Monroe Doctrine, discouraging deals with China or Russia without US approval.
- International signaling to China and Russia about US influence in the American hemisphere is another potential motive.
- Oil reserves in the region, particularly between Venezuela and Guyana, are presented as a third motive.
- Trump’s unpredictable nature means he could opt for anything from a Tomahawk missile strike to a full-scale invasion or personal negotiation.
- The article notes that Trump has already caused destruction and deaths with Venezuelan boats under the guise of drug interdiction.
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