Nuevo Gobierno de Honduras heredará crecimiento moderado, deuda millonaria y alta pobreza

Nuevo Gobierno de Honduras heredará crecimiento moderado, deuda millonaria y alta pobreza Honduras’s incoming government will inherit an economy characterized by moderate growth, significant reliance on remittances, and public debt exceeding $18 billion. Over 60% of the population lives in poverty, with limited formal employment opportunities. Key challenges include structural issues in employment, energy, legal certainty, and competitiveness, alongside a regressive tax system and restricted fiscal space due to high debt.

• Honduras’s economy is projected to grow between 3.5% and 4% in 2025, largely driven by the financial sector.
• Poverty affects over 60% of the population, with low formal employment hindering widespread economic improvement.
• Public debt is expected to surpass $18 billion by year-end, limiting public investment and prioritizing debt servicing.
• Remittances are the primary source of foreign exchange, totaling over $10 billion by October, significantly exceeding export revenues.
• Direct foreign investment remains moderate, influenced by global uncertainty and domestic factors like infrastructure and legal security.
• The labor market suffers from high informality and underemployment, with over two million people facing employment issues.
• Structural challenges include employment, energy supply deficits, legal certainty issues such as land invasions, and competitiveness.
• Presidential candidates present distinct economic agendas, focusing on market correction, attracting investment, combating corruption, fiscal stability, and agricultural sector strengthening.