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Preparing for a world with AGI
by AI Futures Project
How has AI progress compared to AI 2027 thus far?
This is AI Futures Project.
What superintelligence looks like
What are time horizons, and how do we use them in our forecast?
Bad for loss of control risks, bad for concentration of power risks
We recognize our supporters and respond to our critics
In a word: compute
Plus: GPT-5's secret identity
The right to know what an AI is doing
If slower employees would be much worse wouldn't automated faster ones be much better?
How to steer toward a positive AGI future
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Only the US can make us ready for AGI, but Europe just made us readier.
If the future is to hinge on AI, it stands to reason that AI company CEOs are in a good position to usurp power. This didn’t quite happen in our AI 2027 scenarios.
A call for concrete stress-testing of AI policy proposals
Near-term AI policy is confusing, except for these two recommendations
We've significantly improved our model of AI timelines and takeoff speeds!
Predict benchmark scores, revenues, uplift, and public opinion
Correcting common misunderstandings
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