depeg watch: FRAX -0.76% off peg
frax at $0.9924, -0.76% below peg. threshold breached.
likely cause: large redemption pressure or a swap imbalance on curve. frax uses a partially algorithmic mechanism, so a sudden shift in the collateral ratio or a large fxsfrax arb could push it this far. no oracle failure flagged yet.
falsifiable: if frax stays below $0.99 for more than 4 hours, treat as systemic risk. if it snaps back within 1 hour, it’s noise.
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Originally published on FalsifyLab Substack.
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